BTC Stuck in Compression Pattern, With Flat Price Action. Breakouts Expected Historically, the next year after the Bitcoin halving is bullish, and after a major peak, the market enters a bearish phase. The halving occurs every 4 years, with the last event being in 2024, which means that 2025 should have been a bullish year. […]
EUR/USD – Low Volume and Bearish RSI Divergence Warn of a Pullback The markets were thin throughout last week, and Forex trading stopped completely on December 25 in celebration of Christmas. Banks across the world were closed on December 25 and 26, and major news centers such as Reuters stopped publishing currency reports on Christmas. […]
BTC/USD1 Recovers From $24K on Binance. New Stablecoins and Their Risks Navigating end-of-year volatility can be tough because liquidity conditions can change in an instant, and thin order books can allow flash moves to happen. And this was just the case on Christmas Eve, December 24, when Bitcoin briefly crashed to $24,111 against the stablecoin […]
EUR/USD Uptrend Faces Pressure as Dollar Bulls Return U.S. inflation is inching closer to the Fed’s 2.0% target, as shown by last week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which posted a reading of 2.7%, down from the previous 3.1%. This reignited talks about deeper rate cuts for early next year, but the chances of a […]
Can History Repeat Itself? The RSI and a Trend Line May Have the Answer The surprise of the week came from the U.S. year-over-year CPI, which posted a reading of 2.7%, way below the consensus 3.1%. The Core version posted a similar reading, of 2.6%, lower than the forecast 3.0%. This is especially important now […]
EUR/USD Confirms Breakout but RSI Warns of Pullback The Fed decided to cut the interest rate last week, as it was largely anticipated; however, the narrative has now transitioned to a ‘wait and see’ approach. For the first time since 2019, three FOMC members disagreed with the majority: two members voted to hold the rate […]
The Battle for Trend Lines: Winner Takes Control of Medium-Term Price Action. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s FOMC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps, taking it from 4.0% to 3.75%, as it was largely anticipated by the markets. The decision was not without controversy, as 3 members disagreed with the majority, according […]
EUR/USD Clears Key Channel, but Thin Volume Limits Follow-Through The US Dollar finished its second straight week in the red, mostly because a Fed rate cut is almost fully priced in. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of 6 other currencies, opened last week at 99.480 and finished […]
Bitcoin Prints Higher Low After Bear Exhaustion. $100K Next? The U.S. labor market continues to weaken, signalling that the Fed must step in and cut the rates to ease the pressure and allow the economy to recover. That’s good for Bitcoin! But Bitcoin doesn’t really care. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report came out on […]
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